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	<title>Comments on: The Statistical Mechanics of Political Change</title>
	<atom:link href="http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/</link>
	<description>Random samplings from a universe of ideas</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jul 2008 23:50:53 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Riverwolf</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310406</link>
		<dc:creator>Riverwolf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Feb 2008 21:10:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310406</guid>
		<description>Thanks for posting about the statistical probabilities of change. I agree with your overall point: what kind of change, exactly? A change in underwear? A change in the weather. Hey, it's all change! 

However, I think Hillary Clinton is capable of more directed change than Obama. But I suppose we'll see. I'm just convinced that, even if elected, Obama will never measure up to the expectations he has set for himself. 

Maybe Obama would pursue a more sensible diplomacy but I believe Hillary would, too. But a "less confrontational politics, and a more compassionate society here at home?" I don't know that either candidate is capable of that--or anyone, for that matter. How do you legislate that, exactly? Well, it obviously shouldn't be legislated--but that's my point. How do you get people to be more compassionate or less confrontational? And how does that make more jobs, provide for the poor and elderly, or solve the immigration controversy? Moms and Dads should teach compassion and how to handle confrontation. I have parents, and I want something different in our next president.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for posting about the statistical probabilities of change. I agree with your overall point: what kind of change, exactly? A change in underwear? A change in the weather. Hey, it&#8217;s all change! </p>
<p>However, I think Hillary Clinton is capable of more directed change than Obama. But I suppose we&#8217;ll see. I&#8217;m just convinced that, even if elected, Obama will never measure up to the expectations he has set for himself. </p>
<p>Maybe Obama would pursue a more sensible diplomacy but I believe Hillary would, too. But a &#8220;less confrontational politics, and a more compassionate society here at home?&#8221; I don&#8217;t know that either candidate is capable of that&#8211;or anyone, for that matter. How do you legislate that, exactly? Well, it obviously shouldn&#8217;t be legislated&#8211;but that&#8217;s my point. How do you get people to be more compassionate or less confrontational? And how does that make more jobs, provide for the poor and elderly, or solve the immigration controversy? Moms and Dads should teach compassion and how to handle confrontation. I have parents, and I want something different in our next president.</p>
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		<title>By: A sociedade da euforia e a ditadura da felicidade &#171;</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310388</link>
		<dc:creator>A sociedade da euforia e a ditadura da felicidade &#171;</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Feb 2008 10:01:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310388</guid>
		<description>[...] figura, roubada deste post do &#8220;Cosmic Variance&#8221;, mostra que pelo menos em um primeiro momento da caminhada temos [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] figura, roubada deste post do &#8220;Cosmic Variance&#8221;, mostra que pelo menos em um primeiro momento da caminhada temos [...]</p>
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		<title>By: chemicalscum</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310219</link>
		<dc:creator>chemicalscum</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 21:09:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310219</guid>
		<description>I forgot to add that the level of global warming might be related to the quantity of hot air released during US Presidential election campaigns.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I forgot to add that the level of global warming might be related to the quantity of hot air released during US Presidential election campaigns.</p>
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		<title>By: chemicalscum</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310218</link>
		<dc:creator>chemicalscum</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 21:01:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310218</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Since Sean has conclusively debunked the idea that low-entropy states can ever arise from high-entropy states by means of a fluctuation, the present government can only have evolved from better governments in the past. Ergo, Sean believes that Reagan was better than Bush senior, who in turn was better than Clinton, etc. All that remains is to explain the utter perfection of George Washington.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

This is the argument that creationist use against evolution.  You aren't a closet creationist are you Required?

The point is the life and human societies use available free energy to locally reduce  entropy at the cost of increasing it overall.  Hence global warming.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Since Sean has conclusively debunked the idea that low-entropy states can ever arise from high-entropy states by means of a fluctuation, the present government can only have evolved from better governments in the past. Ergo, Sean believes that Reagan was better than Bush senior, who in turn was better than Clinton, etc. All that remains is to explain the utter perfection of George Washington.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is the argument that creationist use against evolution.  You aren&#8217;t a closet creationist are you Required?</p>
<p>The point is the life and human societies use available free energy to locally reduce  entropy at the cost of increasing it overall.  Hence global warming.</p>
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		<title>By: B</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310205</link>
		<dc:creator>B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 17:45:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310205</guid>
		<description>Hi Mike:

&lt;i&gt;but I think we should be careful when changing the fundamental structure of how our economy runs, because there are far more ways it could get worse than get better.&lt;/i&gt;

We rapidly change the 'fundamental structure' of how our whole world runs. If we fail to adjust our economical and political systems to it, the outcome is worsening through doing nothing. The alternative is to slow down change. Best,

B.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Mike:</p>
<p><i>but I think we should be careful when changing the fundamental structure of how our economy runs, because there are far more ways it could get worse than get better.</i></p>
<p>We rapidly change the &#8216;fundamental structure&#8217; of how our whole world runs. If we fail to adjust our economical and political systems to it, the outcome is worsening through doing nothing. The alternative is to slow down change. Best,</p>
<p>B.</p>
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		<title>By: Mike</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310197</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 15:07:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310197</guid>
		<description>Sean, this is the reason why I think I'm 'philosophically' conservative even though I side with liberals on almost everything.  My thinking is, although we have a lot of bad things going on in this country, from an economic standpoint in the context of the entire world and its history, we have a very good thing going on here.  Sure, there are a lot of things we can improve, but I think we should be careful when changing the fundamental structure of how our economy runs, because there are far more ways it could get worse than get better.

The reason I side with liberals, even on economic issues, is because I see conservatives as those advocating for this kind of dangerous change.  Our country was most prosperous under a better-funded government with higher taxes and greater regulatory power.  The changes during the Bush administration take us away from that, and Republicans are pushing for more.  This is happening at a time when we should be pushing in the other direction, because the 'experiment' of the 50s-60s showed that overall well-being was increasing as we moved in that direction.  On the other hand, Democrats seem pushing for policies that aren't even "centrist" in that they don't even fully restore taxation levels of the recent past.  The most dangerous proposal on the table is public health care, which most of us support because we believe the social value to be worth any possibility for economic damage.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sean, this is the reason why I think I&#8217;m &#8216;philosophically&#8217; conservative even though I side with liberals on almost everything.  My thinking is, although we have a lot of bad things going on in this country, from an economic standpoint in the context of the entire world and its history, we have a very good thing going on here.  Sure, there are a lot of things we can improve, but I think we should be careful when changing the fundamental structure of how our economy runs, because there are far more ways it could get worse than get better.</p>
<p>The reason I side with liberals, even on economic issues, is because I see conservatives as those advocating for this kind of dangerous change.  Our country was most prosperous under a better-funded government with higher taxes and greater regulatory power.  The changes during the Bush administration take us away from that, and Republicans are pushing for more.  This is happening at a time when we should be pushing in the other direction, because the &#8216;experiment&#8217; of the 50s-60s showed that overall well-being was increasing as we moved in that direction.  On the other hand, Democrats seem pushing for policies that aren&#8217;t even &#8220;centrist&#8221; in that they don&#8217;t even fully restore taxation levels of the recent past.  The most dangerous proposal on the table is public health care, which most of us support because we believe the social value to be worth any possibility for economic damage.</p>
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		<title>By: Required</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310192</link>
		<dc:creator>Required</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 12:25:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310192</guid>
		<description>Since Sean has conclusively debunked the idea that low-entropy states can ever arise from high-entropy states by means of a fluctuation, the present government can only have evolved from better governments in the past. Ergo, Sean believes that Reagan was better than Bush senior, who in turn was better  than Clinton, etc. All that remains is to explain the utter perfection of George Washington.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Since Sean has conclusively debunked the idea that low-entropy states can ever arise from high-entropy states by means of a fluctuation, the present government can only have evolved from better governments in the past. Ergo, Sean believes that Reagan was better than Bush senior, who in turn was better  than Clinton, etc. All that remains is to explain the utter perfection of George Washington.</p>
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		<title>By: chris</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310188</link>
		<dc:creator>chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 09:19:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310188</guid>
		<description>actually, change is the norm. life itself, as a thermodynamic system, is only possible through a dynamic equilibrium, not a static one. so change is nothing special, it is the rule. therefore, trying to define a political phase space or a position therein is totally futile. how would you fix any reference frame? it's not like in physics, where one meter is exactly defined. take an arbitrary politically charged word - like patriot e.g. within a few years, its meaning can change 180 degrees.

upshot is that crying for change is nothing but a tautology. so actually putting change into the rhetoric can be a sign of contact with reality and therefore rather positive as such. or can you imagine kim yong il crying out for change?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>actually, change is the norm. life itself, as a thermodynamic system, is only possible through a dynamic equilibrium, not a static one. so change is nothing special, it is the rule. therefore, trying to define a political phase space or a position therein is totally futile. how would you fix any reference frame? it&#8217;s not like in physics, where one meter is exactly defined. take an arbitrary politically charged word - like patriot e.g. within a few years, its meaning can change 180 degrees.</p>
<p>upshot is that crying for change is nothing but a tautology. so actually putting change into the rhetoric can be a sign of contact with reality and therefore rather positive as such. or can you imagine kim yong il crying out for change?</p>
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		<title>By: Lawrence B. Crowell</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310167</link>
		<dc:creator>Lawrence B. Crowell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 01:57:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310167</guid>
		<description>The thing I love about minimum government conservative types is that they tend to win and balloon government enormously.  They claim success in minimum government by taking X dollars out of entitlement programs and giving 10X dollars to the Pentagon.  Orwell, your double-think logic LIVES!

I think a better comparison with politics are Nash equilibrium points and a system that is driven/damped into some sort of strange attractor basin around these Nash points.  The two main Nash equilibrium points are Democraps and Republithugs.  The driving force that drives the ball around the basin of attraction is money, and the Fourier expansion of frequencies of this driving force look a lot like WallStreet.  

Though seriously we need a serious change of the guard, and Obama looks like the best bet at this point.  I was originally for Kucinich, but so much for that.  

There has been one remarkable thing about GW Bush.  I dislike hearing him, and I dislike seeing images of him.  The two together is simply too horrible, and as a result I never watch the TV new programs --- and that is a blessing.  Thank you GW Bush for that small favor, but it fails to make up for the rest of your horrors.

Lawrence B. Crowell</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The thing I love about minimum government conservative types is that they tend to win and balloon government enormously.  They claim success in minimum government by taking X dollars out of entitlement programs and giving 10X dollars to the Pentagon.  Orwell, your double-think logic LIVES!</p>
<p>I think a better comparison with politics are Nash equilibrium points and a system that is driven/damped into some sort of strange attractor basin around these Nash points.  The two main Nash equilibrium points are Democraps and Republithugs.  The driving force that drives the ball around the basin of attraction is money, and the Fourier expansion of frequencies of this driving force look a lot like WallStreet.  </p>
<p>Though seriously we need a serious change of the guard, and Obama looks like the best bet at this point.  I was originally for Kucinich, but so much for that.  </p>
<p>There has been one remarkable thing about GW Bush.  I dislike hearing him, and I dislike seeing images of him.  The two together is simply too horrible, and as a result I never watch the TV new programs &#8212; and that is a blessing.  Thank you GW Bush for that small favor, but it fails to make up for the rest of your horrors.</p>
<p>Lawrence B. Crowell</p>
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		<title>By: B</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310163</link>
		<dc:creator>B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 01:14:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310163</guid>
		<description>fh, I agree that there is danger in it. But there is also truth in it. I don't want to constrain any freedom - in fact I think we need more freedom, though not of the type neo-liberalists like to call upon. We are much too tightly constrained to a political system that can't appropriately deal with the complexity of our present situation. Also, one has to keep in mind a) our landscape is time-dependent and what is a maximum today might no longer be a maximum tomorrow. What then? b) As Jesse above pointed out what people regard good and what not is not objective at all, with sufficient 'motivation' (for not to call it advertisement) many people might come to believe change is per se a good thing. In fact, that's why most people think capitalism is a great thing, because it provides the illusion of constant improvement (until something goes wrong that is).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>fh, I agree that there is danger in it. But there is also truth in it. I don&#8217;t want to constrain any freedom - in fact I think we need more freedom, though not of the type neo-liberalists like to call upon. We are much too tightly constrained to a political system that can&#8217;t appropriately deal with the complexity of our present situation. Also, one has to keep in mind a) our landscape is time-dependent and what is a maximum today might no longer be a maximum tomorrow. What then? b) As Jesse above pointed out what people regard good and what not is not objective at all, with sufficient &#8216;motivation&#8217; (for not to call it advertisement) many people might come to believe change is per se a good thing. In fact, that&#8217;s why most people think capitalism is a great thing, because it provides the illusion of constant improvement (until something goes wrong that is).</p>
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		<title>By: The Ridger</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310162</link>
		<dc:creator>The Ridger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 01:12:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310162</guid>
		<description>«Если ты кричишь "Вперед!", ты должен принять безошибочное решение, в каком направлении нужно идти. Разве ты не понимаешь, что, не сделав этого, ты взываешь как к монаху, так и к революционеру, и они будут двигаться в противоположных направлениях?»

"If you cry 'Forward!' you must make it absolutely plain which direction to go. Don't you see that if, without doing so, you call out the word to both a monk and a revolutionary, they will go in precisely opposite directions?"

Anton Chekhov</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>«Если ты кричишь &#8220;Вперед!&#8221;, ты должен принять безошибочное решение, в каком направлении нужно идти. Разве ты не понимаешь, что, не сделав этого, ты взываешь как к монаху, так и к революционеру, и они будут двигаться в противоположных направлениях?»</p>
<p>&#8220;If you cry &#8216;Forward!&#8217; you must make it absolutely plain which direction to go. Don&#8217;t you see that if, without doing so, you call out the word to both a monk and a revolutionary, they will go in precisely opposite directions?&#8221;</p>
<p>Anton Chekhov</p>
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		<title>By: Lab Lemming</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310158</link>
		<dc:creator>Lab Lemming</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 23:29:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310158</guid>
		<description>As a minimal government conservative, I disagree with your co-location of low entropy and good.  If you instead assume that the lowest entropy values are bad, then random change would indeed be a good thing.

However, we observe that policy changes are generally not entropy (or work) neutral.  Historically, government workload increases, and entropy decreases in democratic societies. So a pessimist would say that the difference in political flavors merely changes whether you spiral towards the (bad) low entropy state in a clockwise or counterclockwise direction.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As a minimal government conservative, I disagree with your co-location of low entropy and good.  If you instead assume that the lowest entropy values are bad, then random change would indeed be a good thing.</p>
<p>However, we observe that policy changes are generally not entropy (or work) neutral.  Historically, government workload increases, and entropy decreases in democratic societies. So a pessimist would say that the difference in political flavors merely changes whether you spiral towards the (bad) low entropy state in a clockwise or counterclockwise direction.</p>
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		<title>By: Lord</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310151</link>
		<dc:creator>Lord</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 22:11:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310151</guid>
		<description>Just reflect on the fact that Bush ran the first time on change.  It gives a bad taste in the mouth.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just reflect on the fact that Bush ran the first time on change.  It gives a bad taste in the mouth.</p>
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		<title>By: VanceH</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310143</link>
		<dc:creator>VanceH</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 21:14:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310143</guid>
		<description>Your post reminded me of Karl Popper's observation that based on government's on-going failure to achieve their goal of maximizing happiness that they should perhaps shift to a policy of minimizing avoidable suffering--perhaps a more achievable goal.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Your post reminded me of Karl Popper&#8217;s observation that based on government&#8217;s on-going failure to achieve their goal of maximizing happiness that they should perhaps shift to a policy of minimizing avoidable suffering&#8211;perhaps a more achievable goal.</p>
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		<title>By: R. Totale</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310141</link>
		<dc:creator>R. Totale</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 20:51:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310141</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;“Anybody who committed a crime in this country or in the country they came from has to be deported immediately, with no legal process,” to great applause. I suppose that it sounds good to deport people who commit crimes. But how precisely can we be sure that they really did commit a crime, if there is no legal process?&lt;/i&gt;

I don't support this policy but I think she is saying that, once they've been convicted of a crime, there will be no recourse for the criminal to not get deported. The crime will have the usual legal process.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>“Anybody who committed a crime in this country or in the country they came from has to be deported immediately, with no legal process,” to great applause. I suppose that it sounds good to deport people who commit crimes. But how precisely can we be sure that they really did commit a crime, if there is no legal process?</i></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t support this policy but I think she is saying that, once they&#8217;ve been convicted of a crime, there will be no recourse for the criminal to not get deported. The crime will have the usual legal process.</p>
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		<title>By: Farhat</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310140</link>
		<dc:creator>Farhat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 20:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310140</guid>
		<description>Wow...the part saying "or in the country they came from" makes it even worse. In many parts of the world (some even allies of the US) saying something unsavory about Mohammed would easily get you killed, or engaging in gay sex, or a number of other things. Do we really want some Iranian deported just for, say, buying Satanic Verses?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow&#8230;the part saying &#8220;or in the country they came from&#8221; makes it even worse. In many parts of the world (some even allies of the US) saying something unsavory about Mohammed would easily get you killed, or engaging in gay sex, or a number of other things. Do we really want some Iranian deported just for, say, buying Satanic Verses?</p>
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		<title>By: Elliot</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310139</link>
		<dc:creator>Elliot</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 20:12:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310139</guid>
		<description>A couple of comments:

Given the current administration (regime) almost any change would be good as IMHO they are much closer to "bad" in your diagram as can be tolerated in a democratic society. Just look at the proposed budget. Increase defense spending and cutbacks on health and education and ever widening deficits to protect the tax cuts on the rich. I think that's what "change" is really code for. Moving in the opposite direction. The cost of the war alone is likely to exceed one trillion dollars.

I also think that the political process is more about personality than substance on the issues. We should (I think this is a topic of an SF novel) vote for algorithms (not to be confused with Al Gore Rhythms) which define policy positions and execute them without personalities involved (or insurance/pharmaceutical lobbyists either)

I voted for Obama. But I think Clinton would be a fine president as well. I actually like her position on health care a touch more than Obama's. But her refusal to admit a "mistake" on the vote to authorize the war is a sticking point for me.



e.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple of comments:</p>
<p>Given the current administration (regime) almost any change would be good as IMHO they are much closer to &#8220;bad&#8221; in your diagram as can be tolerated in a democratic society. Just look at the proposed budget. Increase defense spending and cutbacks on health and education and ever widening deficits to protect the tax cuts on the rich. I think that&#8217;s what &#8220;change&#8221; is really code for. Moving in the opposite direction. The cost of the war alone is likely to exceed one trillion dollars.</p>
<p>I also think that the political process is more about personality than substance on the issues. We should (I think this is a topic of an SF novel) vote for algorithms (not to be confused with Al Gore Rhythms) which define policy positions and execute them without personalities involved (or insurance/pharmaceutical lobbyists either)</p>
<p>I voted for Obama. But I think Clinton would be a fine president as well. I actually like her position on health care a touch more than Obama&#8217;s. But her refusal to admit a &#8220;mistake&#8221; on the vote to authorize the war is a sticking point for me.</p>
<p>e.</p>
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		<title>By: Super Tuesday Early Returns! &#171; blueollie</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310138</link>
		<dc:creator>Super Tuesday Early Returns! &#171; blueollie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 20:00:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310138</guid>
		<description>[...] Obama: he has some supporters he probably wish he didn&#8217;t have: me, some scientists and other atheistic math [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Obama: he has some supporters he probably wish he didn&#8217;t have: me, some scientists and other atheistic math [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Supernova</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310135</link>
		<dc:creator>Supernova</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 19:19:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310135</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Ich kann nicht sagen, ob es besser wird, wenn es anders wird,
aber soviel kann ich sagen: es muss anders werden, wenn es gut werden soll.&lt;/i&gt;

"I cannot say whether things will get better if they change.
But this much I can say:  things must change if they are to get better."

-- Georg Christoph Lichtenberg</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Ich kann nicht sagen, ob es besser wird, wenn es anders wird,<br />
aber soviel kann ich sagen: es muss anders werden, wenn es gut werden soll.</i></p>
<p>&#8220;I cannot say whether things will get better if they change.<br />
But this much I can say:  things must change if they are to get better.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8211; Georg Christoph Lichtenberg</p>
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		<title>By: fh</title>
		<link>http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310134</link>
		<dc:creator>fh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Feb 2008 19:10:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cosmicvariance.com/2008/02/05/the-statistical-mechanics-of-political-change/#comment-310134</guid>
		<description>B, there is significant danger in the "We are at a local maximum" point of view though. I mean it's the kind of logic often cited: We have to take away your freedom to give you more freedom eventually. Terrorists of all times justify their violence in the name of a visionary society without violence. Economists say that these hardships for the poor and un/wrongly educated are necessary for the market to find its optimal configuration (overlooking that we're all dead in the long run). George Bush brings War and chaos because it's only through this valley that we can get to democracy and freedom.

IMO we should be most critical of anyone who is making things just a little bit worse so they can be spectacularly better eventually. Much more so then we are at the moment.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>B, there is significant danger in the &#8220;We are at a local maximum&#8221; point of view though. I mean it&#8217;s the kind of logic often cited: We have to take away your freedom to give you more freedom eventually. Terrorists of all times justify their violence in the name of a visionary society without violence. Economists say that these hardships for the poor and un/wrongly educated are necessary for the market to find its optimal configuration (overlooking that we&#8217;re all dead in the long run). George Bush brings War and chaos because it&#8217;s only through this valley that we can get to democracy and freedom.</p>
<p>IMO we should be most critical of anyone who is making things just a little bit worse so they can be spectacularly better eventually. Much more so then we are at the moment.</p>
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