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	<title>Comments on: Another Higgs bump?  Not so fast&#8230;</title>
	<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/</link>
	<description>Random samplings from a universe of ideas.</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 22:06:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: mollishka</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25868</link>
		<dc:creator>mollishka</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 May 2007 15:38:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25868</guid>
		<description>What's this about a 5-sigma resonance at 180GeV from this past week ... ?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What&#8217;s this about a 5-sigma resonance at 180GeV from this past week &#8230; ?</p>
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		<title>By: Borborigmi di un fisico renitente &#187; Ancora tracce del bosone di Higgs? Il sottile confine tra le chiacchiere da bar e la dichiarazione pubblica</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25864</link>
		<dc:creator>Borborigmi di un fisico renitente &#187; Ancora tracce del bosone di Higgs? Il sottile confine tra le chiacchiere da bar e la dichiarazione pubblica</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Mar 2007 23:21:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25864</guid>
		<description>[...] Tommaso (Dorigo) fa qualche alluzione un po&#8217; azzardata: se nei dati di Conway ci fosse veramente il bosone di Higgs, allora dovrebbe fare capolino anche da altre parti, per esempio nello spettro di massa delle coppie di quark b, e lui quasi quasi suggerisce che in effetti sembrerebbe esserci. La discussione va avanti, John (Conway) fa due conti semplici semplici che smentiscono Tommaso e mostrano come nello spettro delle coppie di b non ci sia traccia di alcuna particella a 160 GeV, e via cosÃ¬. Tutto lecito e pure bello, peccato che, siccome queste chiacchiere viaggiano in chiaro sulla rete, qualche giornalista un po&#8217; avido di scoop le intercetta, fa un paio di telefonate, equivoca piÃ¹ o meno di proposito due o tre cose, ed ecco che escono prima un articolo su New Scientist, e poi persino sul numero dell&#8217;Economist che ho tolto dal cellophane ieri. Risultato: smentite a destra e manca, disclaimer vari, e qualcuno di CDF si arrabbia pure. Accidenti. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] Tommaso (Dorigo) fa qualche alluzione un po&#8217; azzardata: se nei dati di Conway ci fosse veramente il bosone di Higgs, allora dovrebbe fare capolino anche da altre parti, per esempio nello spettro di massa delle coppie di quark b, e lui quasi quasi suggerisce che in effetti sembrerebbe esserci. La discussione va avanti, John (Conway) fa due conti semplici semplici che smentiscono Tommaso e mostrano come nello spettro delle coppie di b non ci sia traccia di alcuna particella a 160 GeV, e via cosÃ¬. Tutto lecito e pure bello, peccato che, siccome queste chiacchiere viaggiano in chiaro sulla rete, qualche giornalista un po&#8217; avido di scoop le intercetta, fa un paio di telefonate, equivoca piÃ¹ o meno di proposito due o tre cose, ed ecco che escono prima un articolo su New Scientist, e poi persino sul numero dell&#8217;Economist che ho tolto dal cellophane ieri. Risultato: smentite a destra e manca, disclaimer vari, e qualcuno di CDF si arrabbia pure. Accidenti. [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>By: Bump Hunting (Part 3??) &#124; Cosmic Variance</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25867</link>
		<dc:creator>Bump Hunting (Part 3??) &#124; Cosmic Variance</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Mar 2007 16:49:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25867</guid>
		<description>[...] CDF has seen a beautiful (no pun intended) signal for Z -&#62; bb, and in that mass spectrum they could in principle see the Higgs but in my opinion it seems like they aren&#8217;t quite as sensitive as the tau pair analysis, and would not have been expected to see anything yet. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] CDF has seen a beautiful (no pun intended) signal for Z -&gt; bb, and in that mass spectrum they could in principle see the Higgs but in my opinion it seems like they aren&#8217;t quite as sensitive as the tau pair analysis, and would not have been expected to see anything yet. [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>By: Rumors about the Higgs &#171; A Quantum Diaries Survivor</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25865</link>
		<dc:creator>Rumors about the Higgs &#171; A Quantum Diaries Survivor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Mar 2007 23:28:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25865</guid>
		<description>[...] Now JohnÂ  does a nice back-of-the-envelope calculation , showing that if the H-&#62;tau tau signal is real, there should be a more evident bump in the CDF Z-&#62;bb signal plot. And then I counter in the comments section of his post, arguing that indeed, my plot does not rule out a signal the size he sees in his tau-tau analysis. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] Now JohnÂ  does a nice back-of-the-envelope calculation , showing that if the H-&gt;tau tau signal is real, there should be a more evident bump in the CDF Z-&gt;bb signal plot. And then I counter in the comments section of his post, arguing that indeed, my plot does not rule out a signal the size he sees in his tau-tau analysis. [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>By: tommaso dorigo</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25866</link>
		<dc:creator>tommaso dorigo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Mar 2007 23:03:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2007/03/02/another-higgs-bump-not-so-fast/#comment-25866</guid>
		<description>Hi John,

it's nice to meet virtually here to discuss your signal and my non-signal :)

You did a clear back-of-the-envelope calculation, and I have little to object to it. Of course, one could try to make it a bit more precise (say, the efficiency at 160 GeV is larger than at 90, blah). The bottomline, though, I think is the one you already drew.

Indeed, one should see a signal a tenth of the Z-&#62;bb or so in our plot. The signal would have a width of 20 GeV or so, though, that is almost twice as large as the Z peak, because our resolution scales with energy, as you well know (for by-standers here, John and I have teamed together in the Higgs Sensitivity Working Group four years ago: and I have to say he made me really blush once, when he spent words of praise on one bit of result I had gotten within that group - it was indeed about increasing the jet energy resolution!).
Anyway. The fact that the H-&#62;bb at 160 would be almost twice as fat as the one at 90, means that a tenth of the rate of Z-&#62;bb decays in my plot, spread in a bump twice as wide, would be 20 times less tall.
And the Z signal in my plot is "400 events" tall.
So you get that you need to look for a 20-25ish event tall gaussian excess, spread over the region 130 to 190 GeV.


Now, can we rule that out in my plot ? No. Because there are several points above the fit in the 160 GeV region.


More importantly, the data-fit distribution shown in the inset of the plot shown in the post does not account for background uncertainties... All in all, John, I think you are being too nice by saying the MSSM H search should be done in our sample! But we will give it a look!

Cheers,
T.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi John,</p>
<p>it&#8217;s nice to meet virtually here to discuss your signal and my non-signal <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /><br />
You did a clear back-of-the-envelope calculation, and I have little to object to it. Of course, one could try to make it a bit more precise (say, the efficiency at 160 GeV is larger than at 90, blah). The bottomline, though, I think is the one you already drew.</p>
<p>Indeed, one should see a signal a tenth of the Z-&gt;bb or so in our plot. The signal would have a width of 20 GeV or so, though, that is almost twice as large as the Z peak, because our resolution scales with energy, as you well know (for by-standers here, John and I have teamed together in the Higgs Sensitivity Working Group four years ago: and I have to say he made me really blush once, when he spent words of praise on one bit of result I had gotten within that group - it was indeed about increasing the jet energy resolution!).<br />
Anyway. The fact that the H-&gt;bb at 160 would be almost twice as fat as the one at 90, means that a tenth of the rate of Z-&gt;bb decays in my plot, spread in a bump twice as wide, would be 20 times less tall.<br />
And the Z signal in my plot is &#8220;400 events&#8221; tall.<br />
So you get that you need to look for a 20-25ish event tall gaussian excess, spread over the region 130 to 190 GeV.</p>
<p>Now, can we rule that out in my plot ? No. Because there are several points above the fit in the 160 GeV region.</p>
<p>More importantly, the data-fit distribution shown in the inset of the plot shown in the post does not account for background uncertainties&#8230; All in all, John, I think you are being too nice by saying the MSSM H search should be done in our sample! But we will give it a look!</p>
<p>Cheers,<br />
T.</p>
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